岩溶隧道突水风险评价理论与方法及工程应用

Abstract
Figure/Table
References
Related Citation (15)

Download: PDF (1772 KB) HTML (1 KB)
Export: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)

Abstract Considering the complexity of underground engineering geological conditions and the uncertainty of risk，a risk evaluation methodology was put forward to realize quantitative assessment based on attribute mathematical theory. The value of evaluation index is an interval rather than a certain value，which is the core of the proposed method differed with other methods. A new method and its applications were proposed for synthetic attribute measure analysis and attribute recognition with an engineering case. Seven major influencing factors of water inrush in karst areas were selected as the evaluation indices and the index system of water inrush risk assessment was constituted，and a corresponding evaluation model was established. Comprehensive assignment method was applied to analyze the weights of evaluation indices. The water inrush risk of one tunnel was evaluated by using the established model，and comparisons of the results derived from the proposed method and attribute mathematical method were made. The results indicate that the evaluation results are basically in a good agreement with the observed results，which verify the rationality and feasibility of the proposed method. The risk assessment methodology can provide a powerful tool for quantitative assessment of water inrush in karst tunnels.

Key words： tunnelling engineering karst tunnel water inrush risk attribute interval evaluation theory quantitative assessment engineering applications

Received: 05 January 2012

	Service

	E-mail this article
	Add to my bookshelf
	Add to citation manager
	E-mail Alert
	RSS
	Articles by authors

Cite this article:

URL:

https://rockmech.whrsm.ac.cn/EN/Y2013/V32/I9/1858

[1] 钱七虎，戎晓力. 中国地下工程安全风险管理的现状、问题及相关建议[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报，2008，27(4)：649–655.(QIAN Qihu，RONG Xiaoli. State，issues and relevant recommendations for security risk management of China?s underground engineering[J]. Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering，2008，27(4)：649–655.(in Chinese)) [2] 张毅军，戎晓力，钱七虎，等. TOPSIS方法在地铁施工风险分析中的应用[J].地下空间与工程学报，2010，6(4)：856–860.(ZHANG Yijun，RONG Xiaoli，QIAN Qihu，et al. Application of TOPSIS method in analyzing the subway engineering risk[J]. Chinese Journal of Underground Space and Engineering，2010，6(4)：856–860.(in Chinese)) [3] 同济大学. 崇明越江通道工程风险分析研究总报告[R]. 上海：同济大学，2003.(Tongji University. Risk analysis of Chongming cross- river project[R]. Shanghai：Tongji University，2003.(in Chinese)) [4] 陈龙，黄宏伟. 岩石隧道工程风险浅析[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报，2005，24(1)：110–115.(CHEN Long，HUANG Hongwei. Risk analysis of rock tunnel engineering[J]. Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering，2005，24(1)：110–115.(in Chinese)) [5] 周直. 大型工程项目实施阶段风险分析与管理研究[博士学位论文][D]. 上海：同济大学，1993.(ZHOU Zhi. Risk analysis and management research on the large construction project in implementation period[Ph. D. Thesis][D]. Shanghai：Tongji University，1993.(in Chinese)) [6] 黄宏伟. 隧道及地下工程建设中的风险管理进展研究[J]. 地下空间与工程学报，2006，1(2)：13–20.(HUANG Hongwei. State-of- the-art of the research on risk management in construction of tunnel and underground works[J]. Chinese Journal of Underground Space and Engineering，2006，1(2)：13–20.(in Chinese)) [7] 陈龙. 城市软土盾构隧道施工期风险分析与评估研究[博士学位论文][D]. 上海：同济大学，2004.(CHEN Long. Risk analysis and assessment during construction of soft soil shield tunnel in urban area[Ph. D. Thesis][D]. Shanghai：Tongji University，2004.(in Chinese)) [8] ZHANG J C. Investigations of water inrushes from aquifers under coal seam[J]. International Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences，2005，42(3)：350–360. [9] 李术才，刘斌，李树忱，等. 基于激发极化法的隧道含水地质构造超前探测研究[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报，2011，30(7)：1 297– 1 309.(LI Shucai，LIU Bin，LI Shuchen，et al. Study of advanced detection for tunnel water-bearing geological structures with induced polarization method[J]. Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering，2011，30(7)：1 297–1 309.(in Chinese)) [10] 李利平，李术才，陈军，等. 基于岩溶突涌水风险评价的隧道施工许可机制及其应用研究[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报，2011，30(7)：1 345–1 354.(LI Liping，LI Shucai，CHEN Jun，et al. Construction license mechanism and its application based on karst water inrush risk evaluation[J]. Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering，2011，30(7)：1 345–1 354.(in Chinese)) [11] 许振浩，李术才，李利平，等. 基于层次分析法的岩溶隧道突水突泥风险评估[J]. 岩土力学，2011，32(6)：1 757–1 765.(XU Zhenhao，LI Shucai，LI Liping，et al. Risk assessment of water or mud inrush of karst tunnels based on analytic hierarchy process[J]. Rock and Soil Mechanics，2011，32(6)：1 757–1 765.(in Chinese)) [12] 许振浩，李术才，李利平，等. 基于风险动态评估与控制的岩溶隧道施工许可机制[J]. 岩土工程学报，2011，33(11)：1 715–1 725.(XU Zhenhao，LI Shucai，LI Liping，et al. Construction permit mechanism of karst tunnels based on dynamic assessment and management of risk[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering，2011，33(11)：1 715–1 725.(in Chinese)) [13] 周宗青，李术才，李利平，等. 岩溶隧道突涌水危险性评价的属性识别模型及其工程应用[J]. 岩土力学，2013，34(3)：818–826.(ZHOU Zongqing，LI Shucai，LI Liping，et al. Attribute recognition model of fatalness assessment of water inrush in karst tunnels and its application[J]. Rock and Soil Mechanics，2013，34(3)：818–826.(in Chinese)) [14] 毛邦燕，许模，蒋良文. 隧道岩溶突水、突泥危险性评价初探[J]. 中国岩溶，2010，29(2)：183–189.(MAO Bangyan，XU Mo，JIANG Liangwen. Preliminary study on risk assessment of water and mud inrush in karst tunnel[J]. Carsologica Sinica，2010，29(2)：183–189.(in Chinese)) [15] 韩行瑞. 岩溶隧道涌水及其专家评判系统[J]. 中国岩溶，2004，23(3)：213–218.(HAN Xingrui. Karst water bursting in tunnel and expert judging system[J]. Carsologica Sinica，2004，23(3)：213–218.(in Chinese)) [16] 叶志华，韩行瑞，张高明，等. 隧道岩溶涌水专家评判系统在朱家岩隧道涌水预报中的应用[J]. 中国岩溶，2006，25(2)：139–145.(YE Zhihua，HAN Xingrui，ZHANG Gaoming，et al. Application of expert?s judging system in predicting karst water bursting in Zhujiayan tunnel[J]. Carsologica Sinica，2006，25(2)：139–145.(in Chinese)) [17] 匡星，白明洲，王成亮，等. 基于模糊评价方法的隧道岩溶突水地质灾害综合预警方法[J]. 公路交通科技，2010，27(11)：100–103.(KUANG Xing，BAI Mingzhou，WANG Chengliang，et al. Research of comprehensive warning of Water inrush hazards in karst tunnel based on fuzzy evolution method[J]. Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development，2010，27(11)：100–103.(in Chinese)) [18] 杜毓超，韩行瑞，李兆林. 基于AHP的岩溶隧道涌水专家评判系统及其应用[J]. 中国岩溶，2009，28(3)：281–287.(DU Yuchao，HAN Xingrui，LI Zhaolin. Professional evaluating system for karst tunnel gusing based on AHP and its application[J]. Carsologica Sinica，2009，28(3)：281–287.(in Chinese)) [19] 张庆松，李术才，韩宏伟，等. 岩溶隧道施工风险评价与灾害防治技术研究[J]. 山东大学学报：工学版，2009，39(3)：106–110.(ZHANG Qingsong，LI Shucai，HAN Hongwei，et al. Study on risk evaluation and water inrush disaster preventing technology during construction of karst tunnels[J]. Journal of Shandong University：Engineering Science，2009，39(3)：106–110.(in Chinese)) [20] 文畅平. 隧道瓦斯突出危险性评价的属性识别模型与实例[J]. 煤炭学报，2011，36(8)：1 322–1 328.(WEN Changping. Attribute recognition model and its application of fatalness assessment of gas burst in tunnel[J]. Journal of China Coal Society，2011，36(8)： 1 322–1 328.(in Chinese)) [21] 程乾生. 属性识别理论模型及其应用[J]. 北京大学学报：自然科学版，1997，33(1)：12–20.(CHENG Qiansheng. Attribute recognition theoretical model with application[J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis，1997，33(1)：12–20.(in Chinese)) [22] 程乾生. 质量评价的属性数学模型和模糊数学模型[J]. 数理统计与管理，1997，16(6)：18–23.(CHENG Qiansheng. Attribute mathematical model and fuzzy mathematical model for quality assessment[J]. Application of Statistics and Management，1997，16(6)：18–23.(in Chinese)) [23] 程乾生. 属性集和属性综合评价系统[J]. 系统工程理论与实践，1997，17(9)：1–8.(CHENG Qiansheng. Attribute sets and attribute synthetic assessment system[J]. Systems Engineering－Theory and Practice，1997，17(9)：1–8.(in Chinese)) [24] 李术才，石少帅，李利平，等. 山岭隧道塌方风险评价的属性识别模型与应用[J]. 应用基础与工程科学学报，2013，21(1)：147–158.(LI Shucai，SHI Shaoshuai，LI Liping，et al. Attribute recognition model and its application of mountain tunnel collapse risk assessment[J]. Journal of Basic Science and Engineering，2013，21(1)：147–158.(in Chinese)) [25] SAATY T L，How to make a decision：the analytic hierarchy process[J]. European Journal of Operational Research，1990，48(1)：9–26.