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Abstract Based on extensive literature review，the state of the art of coupled hydromechanical models and in-situ monitoring for groundwater inrush predictions are summarized in detail，based on which，it is proposed that the key issues for describing the seepage characteristics during groundwater inrush are to calibrate the equations for damage-induced evolution of permeability and of effective stress. Depending on in-situ experiments and numerical simulations，a new academic idea，i.e.“the rock microseismicity induced by mining processes and water pressure disturbance is in essence the index of groundwater inrush”，is put forward. Based on case studies，coupled hydro-mechanical theory，high-performance computing technology and microseismic monitoring. The authors propose that the tendency for analyzing and predicting the groundwater inrush is to synthetically inverse the inrush pathway formation，strata microseismic precursor and high performance computing results. And relying on the microseismic monitoring events，the groundwater inrush models are calibrated，which could be used to clarify the precursory characteristics and to locate the inrush pathway. This study will lay theoretical basis for establishing the models to predict the groundwater inrush in underground mining.
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Received: 03 April 2006
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