冯增朝，沈永星. 基于表面位移的岩石失稳前兆识别研究[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报, 2021, 40(S2): 3024-3032.
FENG Zengchao，SHEN Yongxing. Study on precursor identification of rock instability based on surface displacement. , 2021, 40(S2): 3024-3032.
[1] BIENIAWSKI Z T. Mechanism of brittle fracture of rock：Part I—theory of the fracture process[J]. International Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences and Geomechanics Abstracts，1967，4(4)：395–406.
[2] 孙 强，薛晓辉，朱术云，等. 岩石脆性破坏临界信息综合识别[J]. 固体力学学报，2013，34(3)：311–319.(SUN Qiang，XUE Xiaohui，ZHU Shuyun，et al. The identification method of critical information for rock brittle failure[J]. Chinese Journal of Solid Mechanics，2013，34(3)：311–319.(in Chinese))
[3] 曾 鹏，刘阳军，纪洪广，等. 单轴压缩下粗砂岩临界破坏的多频段声发射耦合判据和前兆识别特征[J]. 岩土工程学报，2017，39(3)：509–517.(ZENG Peng，LIU Yangjun，JI Hongguang，et al. Coupling criteria and precursor identification characteristics of multi-band acoustic emission of gritstone fracture under uniaxial compression[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering，2017，39(3)：509–517.(in Chinese))
[4] 李德春，葛宝堂，舒继森. 岩体破坏过程中的电阻率变化试验[J]. 中国矿业大学学报，1999，28(5)：491–493.(LI Dechun，GE Baotang，SHU Jisen. Experimental study on resistivity change during rock mass failure process[J]. Journal of China University of Mining and Technology，1999，28(5)：491–493.(in Chinese))
[5] 刘善军，魏嘉磊，黄建伟，等. 岩石加载过程中红外辐射温度场演化的定量分析方法[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报，2015，34(增1)：2 968– 2 976.(LIU Shanjun，WEI Jialei，HUANG Jianwei，et al. Quantitative analysis methods of infrared radiation temperature field variation in rock loading process[J]. Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering，2015，34(Supp.1)：2 968–2 976.(in Chinese))
[6] 潘一山，杨小彬，马少鹏，等. 材料变形局部化的实验研究[J]. 煤炭学报，2002，27(3)：281–284.(PAN Yishan，YANG Xiaobin，MA Shaopeng，et al. Experimental study on deformation localization of geomaterials[J]. Journal of China Coal Society，2002，27(3)：281–284.(in Chinese))
[7] 宋义敏，马少鹏，杨小彬，等. 岩石变形破坏的数字散斑相关方法研究[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报，2011，30(1)：170–175.(SONG Yimin，MA Shaopeng，YANG Xiaobin，et al. Study on digital speckle correlation methods for rock deformation and failure[J]. Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering，2011，30(1)：170–175.(in Chinese))
[8] 王学滨，侯文腾，潘一山，等. 基于数字图像相关方法的单轴压缩煤样应变局部化过程试验[J]. 煤炭学报，2018，43(4)：984–992.(WANG Xuebin，HOU Wenteng，PAN Yishan，et al. Lateral deformation observation of unidirectional compression sand samples based on DIC coarse-fine search method[J]. Journal of China Coal Society，2018，43(4)：984–992.(in Chinese))
[9] JORDAN T H，JONES L M. Operational earthquake forecasting：some thoughts on why and how[J]. Seismological Research Letters，2010，81(4)：571–574.
[10] JORDAN T H，JONES L M. Reply to‘a second opinion on “Operational Earthquake Forecasting：Some Thoughts on Why and How”，by Thomas H. Jordan and Lucile M. Jones，’by Stuart Crampin[J]. Seismological Research Letters，2011，82(2)：231–232.
[11] JORDAN T H，CHEN Y T，GASPARINI P，et al. Reply to“Comment on‘Operational Earthquake Forecasting：Status of Knowledge and Guidelines for Implementation by Jordan et al. [2011]’by Stuart Crampin”[J]. Annals of Geophysics，2012，55(1)：13–15.
[12] GELLER R J，JACKSON D D，KAGAN Y Y，MULARGIA F. Earthquakes cannot be predicted[J]. Science，1997，75(5 306)：1 616– 1 617.
[13] CRAMPIN S. CHASTIN S. A review of shear wave splitting in the crack-critical crust[J]. Geophysical Journal International，2003，155(1)：221–240.
[14] SANTIS A D，CIANCHINI G，QAMILI E，et al. The 2009 L?Aquila (Central Italy) seismic sequence as a chaotic process[J]. Tectonophysics，2010，496(1/4)：44–52.
[15] 吴忠良，蒋长胜. 统计预测、经验预测、物理预测——近期国际地震预测预报研究的启示[J]. 中国地震，2007(3)：211–224.(WU Zhongliang，JIANG Changsheng. Statistical，empirical，and physical：approaches to earthquake forecast prediction in recent years and their implications[J]. Earthquake Research in China，2007(3)：211–224.(in Chinese))
[16] YUAN G，CRAMPIN S. Observations of stress relaxation before earthquakes[J]. Geophysical Journal International，2004，157：578–582.
[17] ANNEMARIE B，SATOSHI I，GERMAN P，et al. Variability in earthquake stress drop and apparent stress[J]. Geophysical Research Letters，2011，38(6)：122–133.
[18] TIAMPO K F，BOWMAN D D，COLELLA H，et al. The stress accumulation method and the pattern informatics index：complementary approaches to earthquake forecasting[J]. Pure and Applied Geophysics，2008，165(3/4)：693–709.
[19] OHNAKA M，SHEN L F. Scaling of the shear rupture process from nucleation to dynamic propagation：implications of geometric irregularity of the rupturing surfaces[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth，1999，104(B1)：817–844.
[20] ROELOFFS E，QUILTY E，SCHOLTZ C H. Case 21 water level and strain changes preceding and following the August 4，1985 Kettleman Hills，California，earthquake[J]. Pure and Applied Geophysics，1997，149(1)：21–60.
[21] FUJII Y，NAKANE K. Case 24 reevaluation of anomalous vertical crustal movement associated with the 1964 Niigata，Japan，earthquake[J]. Pure and Applied Geophysics，1997，149(1)：115–127.
[22] MA J，SHERMAN S，GUO Y. Identification of meta-instable stress state based on experimental study of evolution of the temperature field during stick-slip instability on a 5° bending fault[J]. Science China—Earth Science，2012，42：633–645.
[23] 马 瑾，郭彦双. 失稳前断层加速协同化的实验室证据和地震实例[J]. 地震地质，2014，36(3)：547–561.(MA Jin，GUO Yanshuang. Accelereted synergism prior to fault instability：evidence from laboratory experiments and an earthquake case[J]. Seismology and Geology，2014，36(3)：547–561.(in Chinese))
[24] TANG C，LIU H，LEE P，et al. Numerical studies of the influence of microstructure on rock failure in uniaxial compression—Part I：effect of heterogeneity[J]. International Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences，2000，37(4)：555–569.
[25] FENG Z，ZHAO Y，ZHAO D. Investigating the scale effects in strength of fractured rock mass[J]. Chaos Solitons and Fractals，2009，41(5)：2 377–2 386.
[26] 冯增朝，赵阳升，段康廉. 岩石的细胞元特性及其非均质分布对岩石全曲线性态的影响[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报，2004，23(11)： 1 819–1 819.(FENG Zengchao，ZHAO Yangsheng，DUAN Kanglian. Influence of rock cell characteristics and rock inhomogeneity parameter on Complete curve of stress-strain[J]. Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering，2004，23(11)：1 819–1 823.(in Chinese))
[27] 朱守彪. 2011年日本东北大地震( = 9.0)震间与震前变形场特征及其对强震预测的启示[J]. 地球物理学报，2020，63(2)：427–439.(ZHU Shoubiao. Inter-and pre-seismic deformations in the 2011 9.0 Tohoku-Oki earthquake：Implications for earthquake prediction[J]. Chinese Journal of Geophysics，2020，63(2)：427–439.(in Chinese))
2021, Vol. 40 
